Costco Wholesale (COST) Beneish M-Score: -2.58 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


COST Costco Wholesale Corp COST
97 GF Score
Price $964.10
GF Value $1,014.93
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score?

Costco Wholesale COST +0.67% 97 Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates COST with a GF Score™ of 97/100 and a GF Value™ of $1,014.93 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 293 Retail - Defensive companies, Costco Wholesale ranks better than 51.19% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

COST' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.96   Med: -2.66   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Costco Wholesale was -2.17. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.66.


Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score Chart

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.30 -2.84 -2.59 -2.66

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.66 -2.80 -2.67 -2.58

COST vs TGT, DG, DLTR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score falls into.


COST
97GF Score
Costco Wholesale Corp COST
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Costco Wholesale for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1941+0.528 * 0.9922+0.404 * 0.9128+0.892 * 1.0923+0.115 * 1.021
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0031+4.679 * -0.072139-0.327 * 0.9593
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (May26) TTM:Last Year (May25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,750 Mil.
Revenue was 70527 + 69597 + 67307 + 86156 = $293,587 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9008 + 8878 + 8797 + 11119 = $37,802 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $45,177 Mil.
Total Assets was $86,430 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $37,040 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,565 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $26,577 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $42,125 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,136 Mil.
Net Income was 2192 + 2035 + 2001 + 2610 = $8,838 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 17 + -4 + 25 + 35 = $73 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3449 + 2996 + 4688 + 3867 = $15,000 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,875 Mil.
Revenue was 63205 + 63723 + 62151 + 79697 = $268,776 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8209 + 7979 + 8042 + 10109 = $34,339 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $38,151 Mil.
Total Assets was $75,482 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $33,300 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,358 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $24,255 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $37,579 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,180 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3750 / 293587) / (2875 / 268776)
=0.012773 / 0.010697
=1.1941

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(34339 / 268776) / (37802 / 293587)
=0.127761 / 0.128759
=0.9922

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (45177 + 37040) / 86430) / (1 - (38151 + 33300) / 75482)
=0.048745 / 0.053403
=0.9128

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=293587 / 268776
=1.0923

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2358 / (2358 + 33300)) / (2565 / (2565 + 37040))
=0.066128 / 0.064765
=1.021

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(26577 / 293587) / (24255 / 268776)
=0.090525 / 0.090242
=1.0031

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8136 + 42125) / 86430) / ((8180 + 37579) / 75482)
=0.581523 / 0.606224
=0.9593

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8838 - 73 - 15000) / 86430
=-0.072139

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Costco Wholesale has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 mean?
Costco Wholesale (COST) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Costco Wholesale and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #143 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 48.8%.
Is Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score too high?
Costco Wholesale's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Based on the distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #143 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Costco Wholesale has a GF Score™ of 97/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score compare to TGT and DG?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #143 out of 293 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Costco Wholesale in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Costco Wholesale and its competitors. Costco Wholesale's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Costco Wholesale (COST) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1,014.93, compared to a current price of $964.10 — trading 5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Costco Wholesale's overall GF Score™ is 97/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Costco Wholesale (COST), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Costco Wholesale (COST) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Costco Wholesale stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $964.10 is trading 5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $1,014.93. GuruFocus considers Costco Wholesale to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for COST:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.58
  • GF Value™: $1,014.93 vs. price of $964.10 (5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 97/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the COST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Costco Wholesale Business Description

Address 999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
97GF Score

Get the complete analysis for COST

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$964.10
Price
$1,014.93
GF Value